There’s no question about it, Texas Democrat Wendy Davis is a political star with a compelling, uplifting personal story: From trailer park to Harvard Law School is emblematic of the American Dream, and you can’t take that away from her.
But can she win the Texas Governor’s race against Greg Abbott? Not gonna happen.
If this were ten or fifteen years from now, this would likely be a toss-up race due to powerful demographic changes taking place, all of which are well documented and not just the wishful thinking of progressives.
While her now famous filibuster to protect abortion rights is what she’s known for, the fact she is facing an opponent with $20 million while she has $1 million will undermine her ability to shift the topic of discussion to education and health care — her desired issues terrain.
While campaigns are, of course, unpredictable, her vote share tops out at about 45 to 46% — even under the best of circumstances.