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Credit Cuccinelli Campaign for Keeping It Close Amid Negative Ad Avalanche

by Gordon Hensley | Nov 6, 2013 | Campaign 2012, GOP Politics

The news, obviously, is that Terry McAuliffe won the Virginia Governor’s race — but it was a win where he was holding on at the end; holding on as the Cuccinelli forces did the only thing they could after getting badly outgunned on TV: use President...

The 2012 Election Aftermath Analysis

by Gordon Hensley | Nov 11, 2012 | Campaign 2012, CMS, GOP Politics, health care, Health Reform, polling, SNF

Looking past the fact the 2012 election was a GOP debacle, and the allegation — fair or not — that the GOP has a “polling problem,” the election result is best analyzed by a Resurgent Republic analysis authored by by Whit Ayres, Jon McHenry and...

Romney Achieves Parity on Medicare With Obama

by Gordon Hensley | Oct 31, 2012 | Campaign 2012, health care, Medicare Cuts

Despite DCSpectator’s prior skepticism that the GOP in general and the Romney campaign in particular could achieve a level of parity with the Democrats on the issue of protecting Medicare, Kaiser data suggests the Romney campaign has largely succeeded. Even...

Polling Accuracy Reaching a Tipping Point as IVR Surveys Pollute Averaging

by Gordon Hensley | Oct 25, 2012 | Campaign 2012, polling

With dozens of polls on the presidential and congressional races out weekly in the closing phase of the 2012 campaign, many of which are IVR (robo-polls) as opposed to live caller polls, even taking an average of polls a la the Real Clear Politics average is becoming...

Medicare Issue Turns Against GOP

by Gordon Hensley | Sep 28, 2012 | Campaign 2012, GOP Politics, health care, Medicare Cuts

When Mitt Romney selected Paul Ryan as his Veep nominee, and initially seized the offensive on Medicare by charging “Obamacare” was funded by actually siphoning-off Medicare dollars, too many GOP consultants rejoiced prematurely. One NRCC operative was...

Predictable DC Drumbeat that Romney is Toast

by Gordon Hensley | Sep 14, 2012 | Campaign 2012, GOP Politics, health care, Health Reform, SNF

If one listened only to the Washington Beltway echo chamber this week, the presidential campaign is over. Not only did Romney ‘mishandle’ the sacking of the U.S. embassy in Libya, but he’s also “lost Ohio” and thus the election because of...
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